Lesson 39 of 53
Rejection vs confirmation
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Every pattern in this module describes what already happened. None of them predict the future on their own. The step that turns a shape into a decision is confirmation.
What a rejection means
A rejection is a long wick: price traded to a level and was pushed straight back out of it. It tells you that orders sat there in size and that the market did not accept those prices. The longer the wick and the more significant the level, the more informative the rejection.
What confirmation means
- Bullish patterns are confirmed when the next candle closes above the pattern's high.
- Bearish patterns are confirmed when the next candle closes below the pattern's low.
- The pattern is invalidated when price closes beyond the opposite extreme — that is your stop level, decided in advance.
- Volume rising on the confirming candle strengthens the signal; a shrinking, overlapping candle weakens it.
The cost of skipping confirmation
Entering on the pattern candle itself gets you a better price on the trades that work and a much worse hit rate overall. Most single candles that look like reversals in a strong trend are simply pauses. Waiting one candle removes a large share of those losses at the cost of a few pips of entry.
The checklist before any candle trade
1. What is the trend? 2. Is the candle at a level that matters? 3. Is the rejection wick long relative to the body? 4. Did the next candle confirm? 5. Where is the invalidation, and does the resulting risk-reward beat 1:2? If any answer is weak, there is no trade.
Open a demo account, mark up hammers and shooting stars at support and resistance, and log what happened on the following candle — twenty samples will teach you more than any list.
Practise pattern reading on a demoProgress is saved on this device.