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Lesson 40 of 53

Support and resistance

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A chart is a record of where buyers and sellers fought. Support is a price area where buying repeatedly stopped a fall. Resistance is a price area where selling repeatedly stopped a rally. Almost everything else in technical analysis is built on these two ideas.

Support and resistance levelsPrice bounces between a horizontal support line at the lows and a horizontal resistance line at the highs, touching each level three times.RESISTANCESUPPORT

How to identify a level on a chart

  1. 1Zoom out first. Switch to the daily or 4-hour chart — the levels that matter are visible without squinting.
  2. 2Find the obvious turning points: the swing highs and swing lows where price clearly changed direction.
  3. 3Draw a horizontal line through the area where two or more of those turns line up. Two touches make a level, three make a strong one.
  4. 4Use the candle bodies for the main line and treat the wicks as the outer edge of the zone.
  5. 5Delete anything that is not obvious. If you have to hunt for a level, the rest of the market is not watching it.

Levels are zones, not laser lines

Price rarely turns at the exact same decimal twice. Expect a band of maybe 10-20 pips on a major pair, wider on gold or an index. Trading a level as a single price is the fastest way to be stopped out by noise on the way to being right.

Why levels work

  • Memory: traders who bought there last time will defend the same price, and traders who missed the move wait for a second chance at it.
  • Resting orders: stop losses and limit orders cluster just beyond obvious highs and lows, which is exactly why price often spikes through before reversing.
  • Round numbers: 1.1000, 2000.00 on gold, 100.00 on USD/JPY. Psychological prices attract orders even with no chart history.
  • Role reversal: broken resistance usually becomes support, and broken support usually becomes resistance. The old ceiling is the new floor.

Confluence — why candles matter more at a level

A hammer in the middle of nowhere is a candle. A hammer on a daily support level that has held three times, in an uptrend, with a long rejection wick, is a setup. Confluence means several independent reasons pointing the same way at the same price.

SignalOn its ownWith confluence
HammerOne period of buying — often noiseHammer at tested support in an uptrend = high-quality reversal
Bearish engulfingMomentum shift, direction unknownEngulfing into daily resistance after a stretched rally = strong short
Break of a levelCould easily be a liquidity sweepBreak plus a close beyond it plus a retest that holds = trend continuation

The confluence checklist

Before any candle trade, count your reasons: 1) a level that matters, 2) the higher-timeframe trend agreeing, 3) a clear rejection wick, 4) a confirming close, 5) risk-to-reward of at least 1:2. Three or more is a trade. One is a gamble.

Common mistakes with levels

  • Drawing twenty lines. If everything is a level, nothing is.
  • Ignoring the trend: buying support inside a strong downtrend means fighting the dominant flow.
  • Putting the stop exactly on the level, where the stop run is designed to reach. Give it room beyond the zone.
  • Treating the first touch of a brand-new level like a proven one — it has no history yet.

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